陕西省能源消费碳排放分析

通过分析1995—2009年陕西省三大产业能源碳排放总量及六大部门碳排放变化情况，以及该段期间内产业结构、经济规模与能源结构三大因素对能源消费碳排放的影响，从中发现，经济规模效应、产业结构效应是正向决定性因素，能源结构效应是负向决定性因素。陕西省应调整能源结构，在进一步提高天然气和电力等低碳能源在能源结构中的使用比例的同时，必须发展其他形式的能源；调整产业结构，促进低碳绿色产业发展，一方面，政府应当利用经济手段和行政手段，限制高碳产业的发展，另一方面，运用适当的财政政策引导、鼓励和扶持低碳产业的发展和绿色产品的开发，从而促进产业竞争力的提高，减轻传统产业的锁定效应。

An Analysis of Carbon Emission from Energy Consumption in Shanxi Province

The research on the amount of 1995 - 2009 carbon emission of three main industrial energies in Shanxi Province, the changes of carbon emission of six big sections, and influence of industrial structure, economic scale, and energy structure on carbon emission from energy consumption shows that the effects of economic scale and industrial structure are positive determinants, while the effective of energy structure is a negative determinant. Hence, the government should adjust its energy structure-developing other energies as well as further increasing consumption on low-carbon energy of natural gap and electric power in energy structure; adjust industrial structure to develop green and low-carbon industry through economic and administrative means to limit high-carbon industry, and through proper financial policy to encourage and support low-carbon industry and development of green products, and finally increase industrial competitiveness and reduce the lock-in effect of traditional industry.