基于引力模型的中国汽车零部件出口影响因素研究

通过实证检验，发现改进后的引力檬型对中国汽车零部件出口的影响十分明显；运输成本是影响中国汽车零部件出口的重要因素；人民币升值会对中国汽车零部件的出口产生较大的负面影响；传统的贸易壁垒对中国汽车零部件出口依然产生较大的负面影响。中国应注重自主创新，提高汽车零部件产业发展水平；拓展新兴市场，推动区域经贸合作；有效规避汇率风险，适度调整贸易产业政策。同时，汽车零部件企业也应转变营销理念，充分了解出口市场，提高企业及其产品的知名度，提升国际交流能力，培养全球化战略眼光。

Influential Factors on Export of China Auto Parts Based on Gravity Model

The empirical test shows dlat modified gravity model has obvious effect on export of China auto parts, transportation cost is an important factor, RMB appreciation has negative effect, and traditional trade barrier still has greater negative effect. China should value independent innovation to develop its industry of auto parts, expand nascent markets to promote regional cooperation, effectively avoid exchange risks to adjust trade policy. Furthermore, the enterprises of auto parts should change marketing concept to know export market, increase their popularity and ability of international communication, and develop a strategic vision of globalizatian.