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Crony Capitalism and Sovereign Default
Authors:Victor?Vaugirard  author-information"  >  author-information__contact u-icon-before"  >  mailto:vic_vaugirard@yahoo.com"   title="  vic_vaugirard@yahoo.com"   itemprop="  email"   data-track="  click"   data-track-action="  Email author"   data-track-label="  "  >Email author
Affiliation:(1) TEAM-CNRS & CREFIB, University of Paris-1, 17 rue de la Sorbonne, Pantheon-Sorbonne, UFR 06, F-75005 Paris, France
Abstract:Cronyism provides policymakers with marked incentives to repay sovereign debt. This takes place at the expense of the average citizen who bears both steep costs of debt repudiation and high costs of debt service, as clientelism increases both financial fragility and the debt burden. The paper sets up a model of strategic debt default that nails down this point, with political distortions and where a representative agent can dismiss the government and overrule its decision. Economic hard times provide an opportunity to implement reforms fighting clientelism, as the implicit coalition between groups of cronies may break down. A model is built along these lines, which highlights cross-country contagion of debt repudiation.JEL Classification Numbers: F3, E6, D8
Keywords:crony capitalism  political distortion  debt service  financial fragility  pure contagion
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