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Evolution of Bilateral Capital Flows to Developing Countries at Intensive and Extensive Margins
Authors:JULIANA D. ARAUJO  POVILAS LASTAUSKAS  CHRIS PAPAGEORGIOU
Abstract:Motivated by the rise in capital flows to low‐income countries (LICs), we examine the nature of these flows and the factors affecting foreign investors' decision. Recognizing the presence of fixed investment costs, we analyze capital flows at both intensive and extensive margins. To fix ideas, we resort to the gravity literature for the estimating relationships which we embed into a two‐tier econometric framework with cross‐sectional dependence. Our main finding is that market entry costs are statistically and economically very detrimental to LICs. We also obtain the gravity‐type relationship for the destination income unconditionally but not after conditioning on relevant variables, as well as establish labor productivity as a robust attractor of capital inflows.
Keywords:C33  C34  F21  F62  O16  bilateral capital flows  foreign direct investment  portfolio flows  low‐income countries  extensive and intensive margins  cross‐sectional dependence
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