| 城镇化和工业化对农民增收的影响机制 |
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| 引用本文： | 李美洲,韩兆洲.城镇化和工业化对农民增收的影响机制[J].财贸研究,2007,18(2):25-31. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李美洲 韩兆洲 |
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| 作者单位： | 暨南大学,经济学院,广东,广州,510632 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文利用动态计量经济学建模方法,揭示了城镇化、工业化和农民收入具有长期协整关系,分析了城镇化和工业化对农民增收的影响,研究了城镇化和工业化对农民增收的路径响应问题。本文的最终结论城镇化和工业化是农民增收的重要途径,相对来说,工业化政策短期效应较好,而城镇化政策长期效应更为显著。最后指出,发展小城镇,建设社会主义新农村是长期提高农民收入的必由之路。
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| 关 键 词： | 农民增收 协整分析 误差修正 脉冲响应 方差分解 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-01-13 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-01-13 |
The Impact Mechanism of Urbanization and Industrialization on Farmers'income |
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| LI Mei-zhou,HAN Zhao-zhou.The Impact Mechanism of Urbanization and Industrialization on Farmers''''income[J].Finance and Trade Research,2007,18(2):25-31. |
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| Authors: | LI Mei-zhou HAN Zhao-zhou |
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| Institution: | School of Economics, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632 |
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| Abstract: | With dynamic econometrics model, this paper analyzes the influence of urbanization and industrialization on increasing farmers′ income, shows that urbanization, industrialization and farmer income have a cointegrating relationship in the long-run. It points out that farmer income responses to urbanization and industrialization. Urbanization and industrialization is an important path to increase farmers′ income; industrialization has a better short-term impact to increase farmers′ income; urbanization has a better long-term impact to increase farmers′ income. |
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| Keywords: | increase of farmers′ income cointegration error correction model impulse response variance decomposition |
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