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Does easing monetary policy increase financial instability?
Institution:1. Bank of England, Threadneedle Street, London EC2R 8AH, UK;2. CfM, United Kingdom;3. WorldRemit, United Kingdom;1. Bank of Canada, Canada;2. University of Western Ontario, Canada;1. World Bank and UMBC, United States of America;2. Johns Hopkins University and NBER, United States of America;3. World Bank, United States of America
Abstract:This paper develops a model featuring both a macroeconomic and a financial friction that speaks to the interaction between monetary and macro-prudential policy and to the role of US monetary and regulatory policy in the run up to the Subprime mortgage crisis. There are two main results. First, interest rate rigidities in a monopolistic banking system increase the probability of a financial crisis (relative to the case of flexible interest rate) in response to contractionary shocks to the economy, while they act as automatic macro-prudential stabilizers in response to expansionary shocks. Second, when the interest rate is the only available instrument, monetary policy faces a trade-off between macroeconomic and financial stability. This trade off is both qualitative and quantitative in response to contractionary shocks, while it is only quantitative in response to positive shocks. We show that a second instrument, such as a Pigouvian tax on credit to households on the demand side of the market, is needed to restore efficiency in the economy when both frictions are at work.
Keywords:Macro-prudential policies  Monetary policy  Financial crises  Financial regulation  Pecuniary externality  Interest rate rigidities  Subprime mortgage crisis
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