基于全象资金流量观测系统的虚拟经济与实体经济的协调监管思路

虚拟化是世界经济发展的一个必然趋势。由于虚拟经济越来越脱离实体经济而取得独立的运行方式,所以整个经济系统可分为实体经济和虚拟经济两个子系统。由于定价方式的不同,实体经济和虚拟经济具有不同的运行特征,资本化定价决定了虚拟经济具有更大的波动性,经济系统的风险主要来自虚拟领域。因此,当今经济稳定的核心在于虚拟经济系统的稳定。在此情形下,传统实体经济的资金流量分析方法及其风险监控指标体系已不能反映整个经济发展的现实。本文试图从全象资金流的角度来考察整个国民经济的稳定运行,并提出一个基于全象资金流量观测系统的虚拟经济与实体经济的协调监管的理论框架。

Coordinating Monitoring of Fictitious Economy and Real Economy Based on the Whole-scope Capital Flow Observation System

The fictitionalization is an inevitable trend of the economic development in the world.Because fictitious economy is more and more deviating from real economy and obtains an independent characteristic.The whole economic system can be divided into two sub-systems: real economy and fictitious economy.They have different operating characters owing to the different pricing style.The capitalization pricing style of fictitious economy determines a volatile character,thus the risk of economic system mainly comes from the fictitious realm.We conclude that the core of contemporary economic stabilization is the fictitious economic stabilization.Under such circumstance,the traditional capital flow analysis model and the risk-monitoring indicator system can not reflect the reality of the economic development.This paper uses the whole-scope cash flow to observe the stabilization of the whole economy,and tries to put forward a theoretic framework of the coordinating monitoring of fictitious economy and real economy based on the whole-scope capital flow observation system.