外商直接投资对浙江省进出口贸易影响的实证分析

选用1992-2006年浙江进出口贸易和外商直接投资的数据,通过建立计量模型,就外商直接投资对浙江进出口贸易的影响,从总量、结构及贸易效益三方面进行分析。研究表明,外商直接投资对浙江省进出口贸易总额存在积极的拉动效应,对进出口商品构成产生明显的影响作用,通过提高加工贸易比重改变了浙江省的贸易方式结构,还在一程度上促进了浙江外贸竞争力的提高。同时也发现浙江省对外贸易与外资引进中仍存在一些问题,并针对这些问题提出解决对策。

FDI's Influence on the Export and Import Trade of Zhe-jiang

According to the annual data of Zhe-jiang in 1992-2006 about foreign direct invest-ment(FDI) and export and import,this paper makes empirical study and measurement of FDI's in-fluence on the export and import trade of Zhe-jiang.By using econometric methods such as virtual variables,unit root test,cointegration test,Granger test and establishing regression models,the paper concludes that FDI and foreign-invested enterprises have promoting effects on the export and import trade of Zhe-jiang,which have enlarged the scales of export and import trade and promoted the structural optimization of the export and import trade.The paper provides corresponding policy sug-gestions according to the research conclusion as well.