Development prospects for the heating supply in Russia |
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Authors: | A S Nekrasov Yu V Sinyak S A Voronina |
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Institution: | 1.Institute of Economic Forecasting,Russian Academy of Sciences,Moscow,Russia |
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Abstract: | The main factors that influence the consumption of heat energy in the centralized heating supply systems in the long term
are discussed in this article. Consumption of heat energy by the population for space heating and hot water will be the most
significant component of the demand. The possible extents of heat consumption and heat saving in the buildings of cities are
estimated on the basis of an analysis of the advanced development of housing construction and the quality of dwelling units.
It is shown that it is necessary to increase the annual creation of new pipeline networks to decrease accidents and heat losses.
Several scenarios for the development of centralized heat supply systems within the limits of the long-term forecast of the
FEC (Fuel and Energy Complex) development of the country until 2030 are discussed. It is shown that major changes in the structure
of heat production can occur as limits increase for carbon dioxide emissions in centralized heat supply systems. |
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