| 对汇率混沌的一种理论解释 |
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| 引用本文： | 江世勇,崔基哲. 对汇率混沌的一种理论解释[J]. 开放导报, 2010, 0(1) |
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| 作者姓名： | 江世勇 崔基哲 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 南开大学经济学院,天津,300071
2. 延边大学经济管理学院,吉林,延吉,133002 |
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| 摘 要： | 用混沌理论和方法来研究汇率的决定问题是一个重要的发展方向。许多研究表明:汇率存在混沌现象。本文尝试对此进行理论性解释:汇率系统属于一个耗散系统,具有明显的非线性特征。信息的非均匀交换和处理是汇率系统表现出非线性的直接诱因,混沌则是复杂非线性的潜在可能。外汇交易市场上的需求和供给则为汇率走向混沌提供了可能的路径。本文最后指出,由于大多数混沌对系统是有害的,因此,需要加强央行的干预与管制。
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| 关 键 词： | 汇率 耗散 非线性 混沌 |
A Theoretical Interpretation of Exchange Rate Chaos |
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| Jiang shi yong,CuiJizhe. A Theoretical Interpretation of Exchange Rate Chaos[J]. China Opening Herald, 2010, 0(1) |
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| Authors: | Jiang shi yong CuiJizhe |
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| Affiliation: | 1.College of Economic/a>;NanKai University/a>;Tianjing 300071/a>;China;2.College of Economic and Management/a>;Yanbian University/a>;Yanji 133302/a>;China |
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| Abstract: | It is an important developing trend to utilize the Chaos Theory and its methodology to explore the decisive issue of the exchange rate.A lot of study shows that the chaos phenomenon does exist in the exchange rate.The article tries to elaborate this from the theoretical point view.The system of the exchange rate is one type of the Dissipation System and characterize in Nonlinear.Non-average exchange and processing of information is directly resulted in the nonlinear of the exchange rate system while the cha... |
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| Keywords: | Exchange rate Dissipation Nonlinear Chaos |
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