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Real exchange rates in small open OECD and transition economies: Comparing apples with oranges?
Authors:Balzs gert  Kirsten Lommatzsch  Amina Lahrche-Rvil
Institution:aOesterreichische Nationalbank, Austria;bEconomiX, University of Paris X-Nanterre, France;cWilliam Davidson Institute, USA;dCEPII, France;eGerman Institute for Economic Research DIW Berlin Königin-Luise-Strasse 5, 14 195 Berlin, Germany
Abstract:We find that productivity gains in tradables cause an appreciation of the real exchange rate via both tradable and nontradable prices in the CEE-5 and have no affect in the Baltic countries, while they lead to a depreciation of the real exchange rate of tradables in OECD economies that overcompensates the appreciation due to nontradable prices. Rising net foreign liabilities lead to a real appreciation in the Baltic countries instead of the expected depreciation found in OECD and CEE-5 countries. These differences are due to the different impact of the fundamentals on the real exchange rate depending on the time horizon studied.
Keywords:Real exchange rate  Equilibrium exchange rate  Productivity  Tradables  Balassa–  Samuelson effect
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