Bivariate FIGARCH and fractional cointegration |
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Authors: | Celso Brunetti Christopher L. Gilbert |
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Affiliation: | a Department of Business Studies and Management School, University of Edinburgh, 50 George Square, Edinburgh EH8 1JY, Scotland, UK;b FEWEC, Vrije Universiteit, CEPR and Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands |
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Abstract: | We consider the modelling of volatility on closely related markets. Univariate fractional volatility (FIGARCH) models are now standard, as are multivariate GARCH models. In this paper, we adopt a combination of the two methodologies. There is as yet little consensus on the methodology for testing for fractional cointegration. The contribution of this paper is to demonstrate the feasibility of estimating and testing cointegrated bivariate FIGARCH models. We apply these methods to volatility on the NYMEX and IPE crude oil markets. We find a common order of fractional integration for the two volatility processes and confirm that they are fractionally cointegrated. An estimated error correction FIGARCH model indicates that the preponderant adjustment is of the IPE towards NYMEX. |
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Keywords: | FIGARCH Fractional cointegration ECM |
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