基于指数平滑法的组合模型对住房需求量的预测研究

以哈尔滨市2000—2015年的城市人均住房使用面积和总人口数为基础，分别对总人口数建立三次指数平滑法模型，对人均住房使用面积建立二次指数平滑法模型，预测出哈尔滨市未来五年总人口数和人均住房使用面积，将总人口数和人均住房使用面积的预测结果代入M-W优化后的预测模型，更加精准的预测出了哈尔滨市未来五年的住房需求量，并对此提出对策和建议。

Forecasting Research of Housing Demand Based on Combination Model of Exponential Smoothing

Based on the urban per capita housing area and the total population of Harbin from 2000 to 2015. The three exponential smoothing model was established for the total population, and the Two-time exponential smoothing model was established for the per capita housing area. Forecast the next five years the total population and per capita housing use area. Put the total population and per capita housing area of the forecast results into the M-W optimized forecasting model. More accurate prediction of the housing needs of Harbin in the next five years, and put forward countermeasures and suggestions.