山东省旅游业高质量发展评价与影响因素研究

基于规模、效率及韧性3个维度构建旅游业高质量发展指标体系，利用2001—2020年山东省16地市面板数据，探究旅游业发展质量的总体变动态势，并通过面板Tobit模型探究山东省旅游业发展质量的影响因素。结果表明：绝大多数地市旅游业发展质量呈现出稳步提升的态势，旅游业发展规模、效率及韧性发展态势则呈现出典型的异质性特征；经济发展水平、产业结构及科技水平对山东省旅游业发展质量具有显著的正向影响，各因素的影响在子系统之间存在明显的差异性特征。

Study on Evaluation and Influencing Factors of High-quality Development of Tourism in Shandong Province

Based on the three dimensions of scale, efficiency and resilience, a index system of high-quality development of tourism is constructed, the panel data of 16 cities in Shandong Province from 2001 to 2020 is used to explore the overall change trend of development quality of tourism, and the influencing factors of development quality of tourism in Shandong Province are analyzed through the panel Tobit model. The results show that the development quality of tourism in most cities shows a steady improvement trend, while the development scale, efficiency and resilience of tourism show typical heterogeneity characteristics. The level of economic development, industrial structure and the level of science and technology have a significant positive impact on the development quality of tourism in Shandong Province.The influence of each factor has obvious differences among subsystems.