关于技术前瞻研究的评介

作为当前创新体系管理的重要手段 ,技术前瞻研究所预测的范围已远远超出技术本身的发展趋势 ,它还包括技术发展的经济与社会背景和市场效应。对技术发展趋势的预测能力已成为国家或企业竞争优势的重大因素。作者具体评介了技术前瞻研究的发展历程、背景、任务、作用与预测方法 ,并阐述它对推动我国科技发展的意义

Introduction and Review on the Technology Foresight Study

As an important means of innovation system management,the forecasting range of technology foresight study goes far beyond technology trends itself.It includes also the economic and social backgrounds and marketing effect of technology development.The ability to anticipate future technological development and trends can be a significant factor of gaining a competitive advantage.The writer introduces and reviews the technology foresight study concretely in its developing history,backgrounds,task and effects,forecasting methods,as well as the implications for promoting China's S &T.