| 我国进出口贸易与经济增长的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 孔群喜. 我国进出口贸易与经济增长的实证研究[J]. 上海立信会计学院学报, 2006, 20(6): 70-75 |
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| 作者姓名： | 孔群喜 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海财经大学国际工商管理学院,上海,200433 |
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| 摘 要： | 选取我国1985-2005年的出口总额、进口总额和国内生产总值等统计数据,在单位根检验和协整检验的基础上建立了误差修正模型,并进行了相关的格兰杰因果检验,提示了我国进出口贸易与经济增长之间的长期关系和短期动态关系。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济增长 格兰杰因果检验 误差修正模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1009-6701(2006)06-0070-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-09-25 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-09-25 |
An Empirical Analysis of the Relations between China's IMP/EXP and Economic Growth |
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| KONG Qun-xi. An Empirical Analysis of the Relations between China's IMP/EXP and Economic Growth[J]. Journal of Shanghai Lixin University of Commerce, 2006, 20(6): 70-75 |
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| Authors: | KONG Qun-xi |
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| Affiliation: | Institute of International Business Administration, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200439, China |
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| Abstract: | The relations between foreign trade and economics growth are one of the main debating is- sue in the economics field.By using China's statistic data of EXP,IMP,and GDP collected between 1985 and 2003,this paper develops an Error Correction Model on the base of unit root and co-integration test and proposes the long-term and short-herin dynamic relations between China's IMP/EXP trade and econom- ic growth. |
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| Keywords: | economic growth Granger test ECM |
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