Controlling deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon: Regional economic impacts and land-use change |
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| Institution: | 1. PPGDE/UFPR, Brazil;2. Cedeplar/UFMG, Brazil;3. Victoria University, Australia;1. Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, 219 Ningliu Road, Nanjing 210044, China;2. China Institute of Manufacturing Development, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, 219 Ningliu Road, Nanjing 210044, China;3. School of Information, Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics, 18 Xueyuan St., Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310018, China;1. Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) & Núcleo de Avaliação de Políticas Climáticas da PUC-Rio (NAPC/PUC-Rio), Brazil;2. Department of Economics, PUC-Rio, Brazil;3. Department of Economics, UFRJ, Brazil;1. University of Miami, Department of Geography, 1300 Campo Sano Avenue, P.O. Box 248067, 33124-4401, Miami, FL, USA;2. Universidade Federal de Goiás, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Departamento de Ecologia, 74690-970, Goiânia, GO, Brazil;1. Centro de Sensoriamento Remoto (CSR), Instituto Brasileiro do Meio Ambiente e dos Recursos Naturais Renováveis (IBAMA), Brasília, DF, Brazil;2. Department of Biology, Biological Sciences Institute, Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, GO, Brazil;1. LEI-Wageningen UR, PO Box 29703, 2502 LS The Hague, The Netherlands;2. Center for Sustainable Development, University of Brasília, Campus Darcy Ribeiro, Gleba A, Brasilia, DF CEP 70910-900, Brazil;1. National Institute for Space Research – INPE, Earth System Science Center – CCST, Avenida dos Astronautas, 1758, Jardim da Granja, 12227-010 São José dos Campos, SP, Brazil;2. São Paulo State University – UNESP, Biosciences Institute of Rio Claro, Avenida 24-A, 1515, Bela Vista, 13906-500 Rio Claro, SP, Brazil;3. Wageningen University and Research Centre – WUR, Agricultural Economics Research Institute – LEI, Alexanderveld, 5, P.O. Box 29703, 2585 DB The Hague, The Netherlands |
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| Abstract: | Brazil confirmed targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions in 2008, including an 80% reduction in deforestation in the Amazon by 2020. With this in mind, we investigated the trade-off between environmental conservation and economic growth in the Amazon. The aim of this study is to project the economic losses and land-use changes resulting from a policy to control deforestation and the rise in land productivity that is necessary to offset those losses. We developed a Dynamic Interregional Computable General Equilibrium Model for 30 Amazon regions with a land module allowing conversion between types of land. The results have shown that the most affected regions would be soybeans and cattle producers as well as regions dominated by family farms. To offset these impacts, it was estimated that an annual gain of land productivity of approximately 1.4% would be required. |
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| Keywords: | Computable general equilibrium Brazil Amazon Land-use change Deforestation Productivity |
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