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Addressing climate change cause and effect on land cover and land use in South Asia
Institution:1. Environmental Planning Laboratory (LABPLAM), Department of Urbanism and Spatial Planning, University of Granada, Spain;2. Environmental Planning Laboratory (LABPLAM), Department of Urbanism and Spatial, Planning, University of Granada, Spain;3. E.T.S. Ingeniería de Caminos, Canales y Puertos, Campus de Fuentenueva s/n, 18071, Granada, Spain, Spain;1. Departamento de Física, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, Argentina;2. Departamento de Matemática, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, Argentina;3. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Tecnológicas, (IFLP-CCT-CONICET)-C. C. 727, 1900 La Plata, Argentina;4. SThAR-EPFL, Lausanne, Switzerland;1. The Land, Environment, Economics and Policy Institute (LEEP), College of Social Sciences & International Studies, University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4 4QJ, UK;2. Department of Geography and Environment and Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton Street, London, WC2A 2AE, UK;3. School of Medicine, University of East Anglia, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, UK;4. Department of Economics, University of Siena, Piazza S. Francesco, 7, 53100, Siena, Italy;5. Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Crowmarsh Gifford, Wallingford, OX10 8BB, UK;6. School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, UK;7. Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Pakefield Road, Lowestoft, Suffolk, NR33 0HT, UK;8. Department of Economics and Management, University of Trento, Via Vigilio Inama, 5, 38122, Trento, Italy;1. Department of Economics, University of Lethbridge, 4401 University Drive W, Lethbridge, Alberta, T1K 3M4, Canada;2. Department of Economics, Lancaster University Management School, LA1 4YX, UK;1. Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Macquarie University, NSW, 2109, Australia;2. Central Coast Council, Wyong, NSW, 2259, Australia;3. Department of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, NSW, 2109, Australia
Abstract:This paper evaluates the role of trade liberalization and agricultural intensification in mitigating climate change cause and effects on land use and emissions using a computable general equilibrium model. Our results indicate that cropland expansion triggered by climate-induced crop productivity changes results in deforestation and increases emissions in South Asia and globally. Global full trade liberalization on all goods is the optimum policy for South Asia despite significant global deforestation, but for the world, unilateral partial trade liberalization on all goods is a more appropriate policy while ensuring a considerable emissions reduction for South Asia. These results indicate that mitigation responses to climate change are location specific and no one trade policy is suitable at the regional and global levels. Lastly, agricultural intensification by improving productivity growth is the best strategy in land-based emissions mitigation, thereby avoiding the transformation of forest and pasture lands for agricultural cultivation both at regional and global levels.
Keywords:Land use  Trade liberalization  Agricultural intensification  Climate change  Computable general equilibrium model
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