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Fundamental Determinants of Real Estate Prices: A Panel Study of German Regions
Authors:Ansgar Belke  Jonas Keil
Affiliation:1.Department of Economics, Chair for Macroeconomics,University of Duisburg-Essen,Essen,Germany;2.Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS),Brussels,Germany;3.Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA),Bonn,Germany;4.German Development Institute (DIE),Bonn,Germany
Abstract:This paper aims at establishing empirical facts on the fundamental determinants of real estate prices. It contributes to the literature by analysing a unique panel dataset covering a wide range of real estate market data and other economic variables for nearly 100 German cities. Several robust fundamental determinants are identified, among them the supply-side factors of construction activity and housing stock as well as the demand-side factors of apartment rents, market size, age structure, local infrastructure and rental prices. Results suggest that these factors are robustly linked to fundamental real estate prices and thus can be used to detect misalignments of market prices.
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