| 中国制造业比较优势变迁的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 耿伟,战楠.中国制造业比较优势变迁的实证分析[J].现代财经,2006,26(12):24-28. |
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| 作者姓名： | 耿伟 战楠 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津财经大学国际经济贸易系,天津300222 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用独立随机增量过程马尔可夫链的方法对中国149个制造业行业的比较优势动态变迁进行实证分析，旨在反映产业比较优势的演变特征。实证分析结果显示，产业比较优势的各个状态均以较高的概率保持在原有状态，由此反映出中国制造业的比较优势模式和专业化分工模式的演变具有固化性的特征。
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| 关 键 词： | 比较优势变迁 盖尔顿回归 马尔可夫转移矩阵 |
| 文章编号： | 1005-1007（2006）12-0024-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-08-12 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年8月12日 |
An Empirical Analysis on the Evolving Comparative Advantage of Chinese Manufacturing Sectors |
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| Geng Wei.An Empirical Analysis on the Evolving Comparative Advantage of Chinese Manufacturing Sectors[J].Modern Finance and Economics(Journal of Tianjin University of Finance and Economics),2006,26(12):24-28. |
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| Authors: | Geng Wei |
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| Abstract: | In this paper we apply the independent stochastic process Markov chains to perform the empirical analysis of dynamics of Chinese comparative advantage basing on recent data for 149 manufacturing sectors in order to illustrate the evolution of Chinese Comparative advantage. The result shows the greater probabilities of remaining in the same cell for each state. Therefore, we find evidence of persistence in patterns of Chinese manufacturing comparative advantage and international specialization. |
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| Keywords: | Evolution of Comparative advantage Galtonian regression Markov transition matrices |
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