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加工贸易、FDI对环境污染的影响分析——基于VECM模型的实证分析
引用本文:朱雯君,陈红蕾.加工贸易、FDI对环境污染的影响分析——基于VECM模型的实证分析[J].经济前沿,2010(6):102-108.
作者姓名:朱雯君  陈红蕾
作者单位:暨南大学经济学院国际贸易系
摘    要:本文基于1983年~2008年我国加工贸易出口额、FDI(实际使用的外商直接投资额)和环境污染的数据,通过建立VECM模型以及进行Granger因果关系检验研究加工贸易、FDI对环境污染的影响。结果表明:从长期看FDI的流入能够在一定程度上减轻我国的环境压力,短期两者的因果关系不明显;而无论长期还是短期,加工贸易都在相当程度上恶化了我国的环境。

关 键 词:加工贸易  FDI  环境污染  VECM模型  Granger因果关系检验

The Effect of Processing Trade and FDI on Environmental Pollution: an Empirical Analysis Based on the VECM Model
ZHU Wen-jun,CHEN Hong-lei.The Effect of Processing Trade and FDI on Environmental Pollution: an Empirical Analysis Based on the VECM Model[J].Forward Position in Economics,2010(6):102-108.
Authors:ZHU Wen-jun  CHEN Hong-lei
Institution:ZHU Wen-jun ,CHEN Hong-lei
Abstract:On the basis of Chinese economic data of processing trade,foreign direct investment(FDI)and environmental pollution from 1983 to 2007,this paper aims at studying the influence of processing trade and FDI on China's environmental pollution by VECM model and Granger causality tests.The study shows that in the long term,FDI will alleviate environment pressure in some way,while the causality tests between them is not evident in the short term;but in both the long term and short term,processing trade will worsen the environment.
Keywords:processing trade  FDI  environmental pollution  VECM model  Granger causality tests
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