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International fund investment and local market returns
Authors:Yothin Jinjarak  Jon Wongswan
Affiliation:a Division of Economics, Nanyang Technological University, 14 Nanyang Avenue 637332, Singapore
b Phatra Securities Public Company Limited, 252/6 Ratchadapisek Road, Bangkok 10310, Thailand
Abstract:International fund investment in bonds and equities is characterized by a positive association between current net inflows and contemporaneous and past market returns: positive-feedback trading, while being possibly profitable for international fund investors, could be destabilizing for the underlying markets. Allowing for interactions between equity investment and bond investment, our panel vector autoregression shows that past equity returns contain useful information in forecasting equity and bond flows and that bond flows impact future equity returns positively.
Keywords:E44   F37   G15
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