Local influence analysis for Poisson autoregression with an application to stock transaction data |
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Authors: | Fukang Zhu Shuangzhe Liu Lei Shi |
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Affiliation: | 1. School of Mathematics, Jilin University, Changchun, China;2. Faculty of Education, Science, Technology and Mathematics, University of Canberra, Canberra, Australia;3. School of Statistics and Mathematics, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming, China |
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Abstract: | In statistical diagnostics and sensitivity analysis, the local influence method plays an important role and has certain advantages over other methods in several situations. In this paper, we use this method to study time series of count data when employing a Poisson autoregressive model. We consider case‐weights, scale, data, and additive perturbation schemes to obtain their corresponding vectors and matrices of derivatives for the measures of slope and normal curvatures. Based on the curvature diagnostics, we take a stepwise local influence approach to deal with data with possible masking effects. Finally, our established results are illustrated to be effective by analyzing a stock transactions data set. |
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Keywords: | influential observation local influence Poisson stepwise local influence time series of counts |
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