中国水产品出口增长的源泉分析

借助于联合国粮农组织"渔业统计时间序列通用软件"数据库数据,利用恒定市场份额分析模型对中国水产品出口增长源泉展开分析,并与泰国、印尼、印度和越南进行横向对比。研究结果表明:中国水产品出口的增加主要是由于水产品竞争力提高引起的,市场规模的扩大对中国水产品出口有着积极的作用,商品结构效应和具体竞争效应对水产品出口的作用由负面作用转为正向作用,说明水产品出口市场结构日趋合理,并开始对出口增长产生积极的促进作用。泰国、印尼和印度出口的增长主要得益于市场需求规模的扩大,越南则是其竞争力增强起到了主导作用。

Analysis on the Growth Effect of China's Aquatic Products Exportation

Based on the FishPlus database from FAO website and by the help of the constant market shares analysis model, this paper makes a quantitative analysis on the growth effect of China’s aquatic products exportation. The study shows that the continual increase of China’s aquatic products export partly results from its better comparative advantage in relation to the others countries, namely from its own competitiveness, partly from the enlargement of the international import markets, and the interaction of both sides. The rational export market reconstruction plays a positive influence on the fishery in China. And the import countries’ demand expansion can explain the growth effect of Thailand, India and Indonesia. The study also shows that the competitiveness of Viet Nam’s aquatic products is upgrading.