上海市电力消费影响因素的实证分析

文章对上海市电力消费的各影响因素进行分析,运用新型的数据分析技术-分层变换筛选拟合法,在各影响因素存在耦合关系的条件下进行了定量分析。本文不仅给出各影响因素对上海市电力消费的重要度指标,而且确定这些影响因素与上海市电力消费需求之间的定量关系,为上海市电力市场分析提供了理论依据。

Demonstrative analysis of Shanhai city eletricity consuming influence factor

The article is analysis the impact factors of power consumption of Shanghai, applying a new data analysis technology——stepwise transforming-filtrating fitting method, and quantity analyzing the relationship of Electricity power consumption on the condition of the coupled relationship . the paper not only put forward the variable importance projection about every factor relative to electricity power consumption, but also found the quantity relation of impact factors relative to power consumption, and set the frame of reference for electrical market analysis in Shanghai.