粮食进口对我国CPI的影响分析

以粮食为基础的食品占我国CPI权重的32.79%。随着我国粮食进口的快速增长,粮食进口对CPI的影响显著,主要表现在四个方面：粮食进口直接影响CPI指数;粮食进口通过产业链条影响下游企业成本进而影响CPI;粮食进口通过示范、替代和心理预期对CPI产生影响;外资通过粮食进口控制重要粮食品种进而影响CPI。粮价为百价之基,因此,必须优化我国粮食进口格局,努力避免外资对我国主要粮食品种的控制,在保证粮食安全的前提下,减轻国际粮价波动对我国CPI的负面影响。

Analysis Impact of Grain Import on Chinese CPI

The grain-based food accounts for 32.79% in Consumer Price Index(CPI).With the rapid growth of imports,grain imports have a significant impact on the CPI.The mechanism is mainly in four aspects: the direct impact of food imports on the CPI index;food imports by the supply chain affect the business costs of downstream,then impact the CPI;food imports through demonstration effect,substitution effect,and psychological expectations impact on the CPI;foreign capital control by major grain varieties of food impor...