| 能源消费与经济增长:基于广东省的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 史浩江.能源消费与经济增长:基于广东省的实证分析[J].经济问题,2008,348(8). |
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| 作者姓名： | 史浩江 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东商学院,流通经济研究所,广州,510320 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用协整模型和格兰杰因果关系模型分析广东省1987年以来能源消费与经济增长的关系.结果表明:(1) 广东省能源消费和经济增长关系显著;(2)能源消费是经济增长的单方向格兰杰原因;(3)这种长期关系是稳定的 ,并没有随时间而发生结构性变化.所以,广东经济增长过分地依靠能源消费.
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| 关 键 词： | 格兰杰因果检验 能源消费 出口贸易 误差修正模型 |
Energy Consumption and Export:Empirical Evidence from Guangdong Province |
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| SHI Hao-jiang.Energy Consumption and Export:Empirical Evidence from Guangdong Province[J].On Economic Problems,2008,348(8). |
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| Authors: | SHI Hao-jiang |
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| Institution: | SHI Hao-jiang(Reaserch Institute of Circulation Economics,Guangdong University of Business Studies,Guangzhou 510320,China) |
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| Abstract: | Using co-integration model and Granger causality model,this paper analyzes the relations between the energy consumption and the export in Guangdong Province since 1987.The result is as follows:(1) the positive relationship between the energy consumption and the export is significant;(2) energy consumption Granger causes export and export does not Granger cause energy consumption;(3) the relation is steady and there is not structural change in it between these two time series.So,export depends on energy cons... |
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| Keywords: | granger causality test eenergy consumption export VECM test |
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