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A Political Agency Theory of Central Bank Independence
Authors:GAUTI B EGGERTSSON  ERIC LE BORGNE
Institution:1. Gauti B. Eggertsson is at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (E‐mail: Gauti.Eggertsson@ny.frb.org).;2. Eric Le Borgne is at the IMF and World Bank (E‐mail: ELeBorgne@imf.org).
Abstract:We propose a simple theory to explain why, and under what circumstances, a politician delegates policy tasks to a technocrat in an independent institution and then analyze under what conditions delegation is optimal for society. Our theory builds on Holmström's (1982, 1999) “hidden effort” principal–agent model. The election pressures that politicians face, and the absence of such pressures for technocrats, give rise to a dynamic incentive structure that formalizes two rationales for delegation, one highlighted by Hamilton (1788) and the other by Blinder (1998) . Delegation trades off the cost of having a possibly incompetent technocrat with a long‐term job contract against the benefit of having a technocrat who (i) invests more effort into the specialized policy task and (ii) is better insulated from the whims of public opinion. A natural application of our framework suggests a new theory of central bank independence.
Keywords:E58  E61  H11  J45  delegation  elections  career concerns  learning by doing  insulation  central bank independence
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