| 碳排放与出口贸易和经济增长之间的关系研究——对山东省1984～2008年数据的计量分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张峰,蒋婷. 碳排放与出口贸易和经济增长之间的关系研究——对山东省1984～2008年数据的计量分析[J]. 生态经济(学术版), 2011, 0(2) |
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| 作者姓名： | 张峰 蒋婷 |
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| 作者单位： | 青岛酒店管理学院旅游与酒店管理学院;山东大学管理学院; |
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| 摘 要： | 根据对数均值迪氏分解法计算出了山东省1984～2008年的碳排放量,然后实证分析了经济增长、出口贸易与碳排放之间的动态关系。结论显示:3个变量之间存在长期协整关系;出口贸易是山东省碳排放和经济增长的格兰杰因,而经济增长不是碳排放的原因。出口带动经济增长假说在山东省成立,山东省也是碳污染的天堂和转移排放的对象,但山东省的经济增长和环境关系符合环境库兹涅茨曲线高收入阶段的情况,环境质量随着收入的增加而得到改善。山东省可通过发展减排和贸易减排的方式实现经济的可持续发展和环境友好型社会的建设。
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| 关 键 词： | 碳排放 环境库兹涅茨曲线 贸易减排 发展减排 |
An Research on the Relationship of Carbon Emissions, Export Trade and Economic Growth: Based on the Data of 1984 to 2008 of Shandong Province |
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| ZHANG Feng,JIANG Ting. An Research on the Relationship of Carbon Emissions, Export Trade and Economic Growth: Based on the Data of 1984 to 2008 of Shandong Province[J]. Ecological Economy, 2011, 0(2) |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Feng JIANG Ting |
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| Affiliation: | ZHANG Feng1,JIANG Ting2 (1.School of Hotel & Tourism Management,Qingdao Hotel Management College,Qingdao Shandong 266100,China,2.School of Management,Shandong University,Jinan Shandong 250100,China) |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,the Shandong's Carbon emission of 1984-2008 is calculated by the LMDI analysis,and then studied the dynamic relationship between carbon emissions,economic growth and export trade.Conclusion shows:These three variables have long-term co integration relationship;Export trade is the Grange cause of Carbon emissions and economic growth,but economic growth is not the Granger cause of Carbon emissions.The ELG hypothesis is true in Shandong province,Shandong is also the heaven and the transfer of car... |
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| Keywords: | carbon emissions Kuznets curve trade emission reduction development emission reduction |
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