金融危机下中国木质林产品出口市场布局优化研究

选取2003～2006年中国30个主要出口国(地区)的数据作为分析对象,基于引力模型实证研究结果表明:经济规模、人均收入水平和贸易制度安排对贸易有促进作用,距离是双边贸易的阻碍因素。通过出口市场的贸易潜力测算,提出金融危机下出口市场布局优化的建议。

Researching on Optimizing the Layout of the Export Market of Chinese Wood Forest Products in the Financial Crisis

The study found that the export of Chinese wood forest products increased rapidly,facing security issues of resources protection; export market is too concentrated,facing question of an increase in export trade fiction. Selecting the data from 2003 to 2006 of Chinese 30 main exporting countries (regions) as the analysis object,empirical studies based on gravity model have shown that economies of scale,per capital income levels and institutional arrangements will promote trade,distance will hinder the trade. At the same time,through estimating trade potential of the export market,put forward recommendations to optimize the layout of the export market in the financial crisis.