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THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES AS A GAUSSIAN RANDOM FIELD
Authors:D P Kennedy
Institution:Statistical Laboratory, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
Abstract:A simple model of the term structure of interest rates is introduced in which the family of instantaneous forward rates evolves as a continuous Gaussian random field. A necessary and sufficient condition for the associated family of discounted zero-coupon bond prices to be martingales is given, permitting the consistent pricing of interest rate contingent claims. Examples of the pricing of interest-rate caps and the situation when the Gaussian random field may be viewed as a deterministic time change of the standard Brownian sheet are discussed.
Keywords:term structure  bond prices  martingale measure  Contingent claims  interest-rate caps  hedging strategies  Gaussian random field
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