| 物流车辆路径选择中的交通状态预测方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙晓亮,贾利民,董宏辉. 物流车辆路径选择中的交通状态预测方法研究[J]. 物流技术, 2010, 29(8): 71-73 |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙晓亮 贾利民 董宏辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京交通大学交通运输学院,北京100044 |
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| 摘 要： | 以道路服务水平作为反映交通状态的效率指标，通过大量的交通历史数据分析，研究了交通状态预测分模态的ARIMA模型，并进行了实验分析。实验结果表明，该模型能够准确的预测交通状态，并为优化配置物流车辆的路径选择提供有益的参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 路径选择 交通状态 分模态ARIMA 物流车辆 |
Research on Traffic Condition Forecasting in Logistics Vehicle Routing Problem |
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| SUN Xiao-liang,JIA Li-min,DONG Hong-hui. Research on Traffic Condition Forecasting in Logistics Vehicle Routing Problem[J]. Logistics Technology, 2010, 29(8): 71-73 |
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| Authors: | SUN Xiao-liang JIA Li-min DONG Hong-hui |
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| Affiliation: | SUN Xiao-liang,JIA Li-min,DONG Hong-hui(School of Traffic & Transportation,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China) |
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| Abstract: | Taking road service level as the efficiency index reflecting traffic conditions,the paper designs a multi-mode ARIMA model of traffic condition forecasting and analyzes it in an experiment.The results show that the model can accurately forecast traffic conditions and provide helpful reference for the optimization of logistics vehicle route selection. |
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| Keywords: | route selection traffic condition multi-mode ARIMA logistics vehicle |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
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