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电网故障序列预测
引用本文:陈哲星,宋玮,董卓,武江斌.电网故障序列预测[J].河北工业科技,2010,27(6):471-472,476.
作者姓名:陈哲星  宋玮  董卓  武江斌
作者单位:华北电力大学电气与电子工程学院;华北电力大学电气与电子工程学院;华北电力大学电气与电子工程学院;华北电力大学电气与电子工程学院
摘    要:对电网中发生故障后可能产生的故障序列进行了预测,首先通过支路过负荷、支路故障率、支路关联度3个角度选择出最有可能发生故障的初始故障线路集,继而考虑过负荷、保护隐性故障以及元件固有的故障率3种情况的综合影响,采用广义的灰色关联分析,对后续可能发生的故障序列进行了预测。最后,利用IEEE-79节点系统对本方法进行验证。

关 键 词:过负荷  隐性故障  广义灰色关联分析

Fault sequence forecast of pow er gr id
CHEN Zhe-xing,SONG Wei,DONG Zhuo and WU Jiang-bin.Fault sequence forecast of pow er gr id[J].Hebei Journal of Industrial Science & Technology,2010,27(6):471-472,476.
Authors:CHEN Zhe-xing  SONG Wei  DONG Zhuo and WU Jiang-bin
Institution:School of Electric and Electronic Engineering,North China Electric Power University,Baoding Hebei 071003,China;School of Electric and Electronic Engineering,North China Electric Power University,Baoding Hebei 071003,China;School of Electric and Electronic Engineering,North China Electric Power University,Baoding Hebei 071003,China;School of Electric and Electronic Engineering,North China Electric Power University,Baoding Hebei 071003,China
Abstract:In this paper we forecast the fault sequence of power grid when there is a initial fault.First of all,we chose the initial fault from three perspective analysis including overload line,the fault probability of lines and the relational grade of lines.Then we analyzed the comprehensive effect of overload,cascading faults and the fault probability of lines.At last we forecast the fault sequence of power grid,basd on the method of general gray relational grade.The effectiveness of the method in this paper is validated by the IEEE-79 node system.
Keywords:overload lines  cascading faults  general gray relational grade
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