中国的政府公共支出与减贫政策

在中国 ,尽管农村经济增长和贫困减少取得了长足进展 ,但很少有研究对农村经济的动力源进行分析 ,而把公共投资作为农村发展和消除贫困的直接动力源的研究尤其缺乏。本文旨在弥补以前研究的空白 ,并指出各类公共投资对农村经济增长、贫困减少和地区不均等的边际效应在各地区和各时期差别很大。根据实证结果和对历史上公共支出方式的分析可知 ,农村公共支出再分配可以带来很大的潜在收益。

Government Expenditure and Poverty Reduction in China

Despite the phenomenal progress in poverty reduction in rural PRC, few studies analyze the sources of growth of this increasingly important sector, in particularly failed to include public investment directly as a source of growth and poverty reduction. This paper points out the knowledge gap in previous studies and develops an analytical framework to fill the gap. The results show that government spending on production-enhancing investments, such as agricultural R&D and irrigation, rural education, and infrastructure including roads, electricity, and telecommunications all contributed to rural productivity growth and reduced regional inequality and rural poverty. But variations in their marginal effects on productivity were large, among the different types of spending as well as across regions. The paper finally draws some conclusions regarding the policy choices based on the empirical results.