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Technology-push, demand-pull and the shaping of technological paradigms - Patterns in the development of computing technology
Authors:Jan van den Ende  Wilfred Dolfsma
Affiliation:(1) Department of Innovation Studies, Utrecht University, P.O. Box 80115, 3508 TC Utrecht, The Netherlands;(2) Department of Economics, University of Pavia, Via San Felice 5, 27100 Pavia, Italy;(3) KITeS, Bocconi University, Via Sarfatti 25, 20139 Milan, Italy;(4) LEM—Sant’Anna School of Advanced Studies, Piazza Martiri della Liberta’ 33, 56172 Pisa, Italy
Abstract:An assumption generally subscribed to in evolutionary economics is that new technological paradigms arise from advances is science and developments in technological knowledge. Further, demand only influences the selection among competing paradigms, and the course of the paradigm after its inception. In this paper, we argue that this view needs to be qualified and modified. We demonstrate that, in the history of computing technology in the 20th century, a distinction can be made between periods in which either demand or knowledge development played the bigger role in shaping the technological paradigms. In the demand enabled periods, new technological (sub-)paradigms in computing technology have emerged as well.
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