经济地理、政治版图与不对称相互依赖的权力效用——以俄罗斯阻止乌克兰加入北约为例

国际政治现实中存在着有趣的不对称经济相互依赖未能产生有效权力的情形,不对称依赖较小的一方不能凭借其在经济相互依赖中的有利地位,通过使用经济手段,将经济影响力转化为政治影响力,进而对依赖较大的一方形成权力,从而实现自身的外交目标。在对相关文献进行述评的基础上,作者构建了一个经济地理和政治版图的新解释框架以解释该现象。在引入经济地理和政治版图的基本框架之后,提出依赖较大国内部经济地理和政治版图的错位或者契合是影响不对称相互依赖能否在短期内发挥权力效用的关键因素。在两者错位的情况下,权力难以顺利实现;在两者契合的状况下,权力容易实现。同时,作者选取并详细剖析了2004年以来俄罗斯借助经济不对称依赖中的优势地位阻止乌克兰加入北约这一案例,以论证这一核心观点。

Economic Geography,Political Bloc,and the Power in Asymmetrical Economic Interdependence

There’s an interesting puzzle in the international relations that asymmetric economic interdependence doesn’t bring effective power.The less dependent actor which is predominant in an interdependent dyad couldn’t transform its economic influence into political influence by using economic means,and thus fails to excise its power over the more dependent actor.Based on existing literature,the author constructs a new explanatory model by utilizing economic geography and political bloc,and argues that whether economic geography can match with the political bloc is crucial to the power from asymmetric economic interdependence.The case study of Russia taking advantage of its predominant position to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO bolsters core viewpoint presented by this article.