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Aggregate labor market fluctuations under news shocks
Affiliation:1. Institute of Economics and Finance, Nanjing Audit University, No. 86 Yushan West Road, Pukou District, Nanjing, 211815, China;2. Adam Smith Business School, University of Glasgow, UK;3. Suqian College, 399 South Huanghe Rd., Suqian, Jiangsu, 223800, China
Abstract:The standard RBC model fails to replicate the relationship between aggregate hours worked and average productivity. We propose a DSGE model that incorporates habit formation preferences, capital adjustment costs, and news shocks to solve the puzzle implied in the standard RBC model with only technological shocks. The aggregate labor supply curve is shifted due to the wealth effect caused by the variation of consumption under a news shock. Moreover, capital adjustment costs help amplify the variation of consumption, and thus the movement of the aggregate labor supply curve under the news shock. Also, the aggregate demand curve will be shifted, as it operates in the standard RBC model after the realization of the news shock. As a result of the joint movement of the aggregate labor supply curve and aggregate labor demand curve under the news shock, the model achieves a relationship quite close to the empirically observed relationship.
Keywords:Aggregate hours worked  Average productivity  Aggregate labor supply and demand curve  Habit formation  Capital adjustment costs  News shocks  E24  E32  E37  J20
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