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The heterogeneity among commodity-rich economies: Beyond the prices of commodities
Institution:1. International Monetary Fund, European Department, USA;2. International Monetary Fund, Research Department, USA;1. Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, Poland;2. Group for Research in Applied Economics (GRAPE), Faculty of Management, University of Warsaw IZA, Poland;3. National Bank of Poland, Poland;1. School of Economics, Shandong University, No. 27 ShandaNanlu, Jinan City, 250100 Shandong Province, P.R. China;2. Department of Economics, University of California, Riverside, CA, 92521, USA;3. Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York, Heslington, York, YO10 5DD, UK
Abstract:Commodity-rich economies share many common factors, which resulted in the generalization of any findings obtained from a single commodity-rich economy. This paper proposes a small open economy model for a commodity-rich country and studies the triggers of business cycles for four different commodity-rich economies to highlight the existence of heterogeneity among commodity-rich economies. The model introduces government consumption in a non-separable form to the utility function. Commodities have a central role in private consumption, production of final goods, and windfalls for the domestic government. We feed the model with a variety of shocks suggested by the previous literature. The estimations of the model show that oil-rich economies are more vulnerable to external shocks than their commodity-rich counterparts. The findings of the paper indicate that government spending is a significant source of heterogeneity. Also, given the relatively higher share of commodity rents when the principal commodity is oil, oil-rich countries need to adopt more prudential fiscal measures.
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