翻阳湖区PRED系统诊断及湖区开发对策探讨

鄱阳湖区PRED开放系统具有脆弱性、不稳定性的特征。原因有自然因素和社会因素两个方面，自然因素主要是水旱灾害和血吸虫病的干扰，社会因素包括人口膨胀、物质贫困和精神贫困并存。从系统要素的观点，得出鄱阳湖区PRED系统的实质是人地水关系。鄱阳湖区的发展是整治与开发的统一，具体来说，应该突出重点地进行湖区土地资源开发、水资源开发和农村劳动力资源开发；调整湖区产业结构，以小城镇建设为楔机，协调湖区典型的二元经济结构；强调生态环境保护，促进区域可持续发展。

A Study on Characteristics of Po'yang Lake Region's PRED System and Its Exploitation Strategies

Po'yang Lake Region's PRED System is fragile and unstable because of nature's and society's factors The former includes disasters of flood and aridness,intervention by schistosomiasis,the latter includes population expansion,material poverty and spirit poverty The essence of Po'yang Lake Region's PRED System is Person-land-water relationship It is necessary to take measures of synthetic harness and sustainable exploitation,including land resource's exploitation,water resource's exploitation,rural human resource's explitation,small city's construction and ecological environment protection