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中国铜价波动关键性因素识别及预警机制研究
引用本文:刘莹. 中国铜价波动关键性因素识别及预警机制研究[J]. 湖南财经高等专科学校学报, 2014, 0(4): 141-147
作者姓名:刘莹
作者单位:湖南财政经济学院,湖南长沙410205
摘    要:中国铜价波动剧烈,规避风险需要进行铜价波动预警研究。首先对中国铜价波动进行关键性因素识别,指标中加入了再生铜与地震指标等关键性因素,采用主成分分析法形成铜价波动警度指标,并形成寻找警源、分析警兆、预报警度以及措施反馈的铜价波动预警机制。

关 键 词:铜价波动  关键性因素  预警机制

Research on Key Factors Ascertaining and Prewarning Mechanism of Copper Price Volatility in China
LIU Ying. Research on Key Factors Ascertaining and Prewarning Mechanism of Copper Price Volatility in China[J]. Journal of Hunan Financial and Economic College, 2014, 0(4): 141-147
Authors:LIU Ying
Affiliation:LIU Ying ( Hunan University of Finance and Economics, Changsha Hunan 410205)
Abstract:The copper price is of extremely volatility in China, and copper price volatility pie warning research should be done for risk aversion. This paper firstly ascertains the key factors led to price volatility. Secondly, copper and seismic indicators and other key factors are added to the indicators. The copper price volatility warning degree indicator forms with the principal component analysis, and the copper prices pre warning mechanism is constructed for seeking pre warning sources, analyzing warning signs, pre alarm degree, as well as feedback measures.
Keywords:copper price volatility  key factors  prewarning mechanism
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