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Trade in factor income and the US-China trade balance
Institution:1. Institute of Developing Economies - Japan External Trade Organization (IDE-JETRO), Japan, and Guest Senior Research Fellow, School of Low Carbon Economics, Hubei University of Economics, China;2. School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, China;3. Tsinghua University, China;4. National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (GRIPS), Japan
Abstract:US multindoational enterprises sell considerable amounts of products to China's domestic consumers that are “made” in either China or other countries. However, these sales are not counted as US exports to China. To account for this, we propose a beyond-borders approach to measuring trade flows that explicitly considers firm ownership, termed “trade in factor income (TiFI),” that defines the US-owned factor income induced by China's final demand as US exports to China. Applying this approach to OECD data, we find that on average from 2005 to 2016 in TiFI terms, US exports to China were 20.34% and 8.21% greater, China's exports to the US were 1.64% and 16.04% less, and the US trade deficits with China were 17.4% and 32.0% less than the trade figures reported in value added and gross terms, respectively. The concept of TiFI transforms trade measures from a territory-based “made in” label to a factor income-based “created by” label.
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