| 海峡两岸贸易对台湾就业水平的影响——基于VAR模型分析 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 陈心颖.海峡两岸贸易对台湾就业水平的影响——基于VAR模型分析[J].上海财经大学学报,2012(1):92-97. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 陈心颖 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 中共福建省委党校经济学教研部 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 2010年ECFA的签署标志着两岸经贸合作关系将进一步深化。本文根据1990—2009年20年两岸的进出口贸易数据和台湾就业人数的变化,利用协整检验、脉冲函数和方差分解的实证研究,认为两岸贸易短期内能较明显促进台湾就业人数的增加,长期的拉动效应减弱,总体上两岸贸易有利于台湾的失业率下降。
|
| 关 键 词： | 两岸贸易 台湾就业 VAR模型 |
The Effects of Cross-strait Trade on the Employment Level in Taiwan:Analysis Based on VAR Model |
| |
| CHEN Xin-ying.The Effects of Cross-strait Trade on the Employment Level in Taiwan:Analysis Based on VAR Model[J].Journal of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,2012(1):92-97. |
| |
| Authors: | CHEN Xin-ying |
| |
| Institution: | CHEN Xin-ying(Department of Economics,Party School of the Fujian Committee of the CCP,Fujian Fuzhou 350001,China) |
| |
| Abstract: | The signing of ECFA in 2010 marks the deepening of the cross-strait trade cooperation relationship.Based on the data of cross-strait trade and the change in Taiwan’s employment figure from 1990 to 2009,this paper employs cointegretion test,impulse response function and variance analysis to make an empirical study.It shows that the cross-strait trade has an significantly positive effect on the employment level in Taiwan in the short term and the positive effect weakens in the long term,so cross-strait trade is beneficial to the reduction in the unemployment level in Taiwan as a whole. |
| |
| Keywords: | cross-strait trade employment in Taiwan VAR model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
