| 基于协整分析和格兰杰因果检验的辽宁省森林旅游产业与县域经济发展关系研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 何丹,陈珂,翟印礼.基于协整分析和格兰杰因果检验的辽宁省森林旅游产业与县域经济发展关系研究[J].林业经济问题,2012,32(6). |
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| 作者姓名： | 何丹 陈珂 翟印礼 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 沈阳农业大学,林学院,沈阳110866
2. 沈阳农业大学,经济管理学院,沈阳110866 |
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| 基金项目： | 辽宁省科技厅软科学研究项目，辽宁省教育厅人文社科研究项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 以2000～2009年辽宁省8县(市)森林旅游业和国民经济发展数据为样本,采用协整分析和Granger因果检验方法,得出森林旅游业与县域经济发展间存在着长期均衡的协整关系,县域经济发展对森林旅游产业增长存在单向Granger因果关系的结论,并据此寻找辽宁省森林资源丰富县域旅游产业发展的约束条件,最终制定出促进森林旅游业可持续发展的政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 森林旅游业 县域经济 格兰杰因果检验 |
Study on Forest Tourism and County Economy in Liaoning Based on Cointegration Analysis and Granger Causality Test |
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| HE Dan
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CHEN Ke
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ZHAI Yin-li.Study on Forest Tourism and County Economy in Liaoning Based on Cointegration Analysis and Granger Causality Test[J].Problems of Forestry Economics,2012,32(6). |
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| Authors: | HE Dan CHEN Ke ZHAI Yin-li |
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| Abstract: | This paper uses the theory of Granger causality test to calculate the forest tourism and county economy data in Liaoning from 2000 to 2009.The conclusion is that there is a long-term stability cointegration relation between the two and the growth of county economy is the Granger cause to the development of the tourism industry.At last,this article put forwards the constraints of forest tourism and proposes the suggestions about sustainable development of forest tourism industry in rich forest areas. |
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| Keywords: | forest tourism county economy Granger causality test |
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