1. University of Oregon, 97403, Eugene, OR, USA 2. Dept. of Decision Systems, School of Business Administration, University of Southern California, 90089-1421, University Park, Los Angeles, CA, USA
Abstract:
The objective of this paper is to present a parametric test of Granger causality in a multivariate ARMA model. We derive the necessary and sufficient condition for Granger causality. We then relate our method to previous studies by examining Sims' nominal income and money data.