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广西北部湾港口物流需求预测及发展模式研究
引用本文:王景敏,朱芳阳,隋博文,江志娟.广西北部湾港口物流需求预测及发展模式研究[J].物流科技,2010,33(12):26-28.
作者姓名:王景敏  朱芳阳  隋博文  江志娟
作者单位:钦州学院,广西钦州535000
基金项目:钦州学院2010年校级科研资助项目
摘    要:广西北部湾港作为一个组合港,港口物流需求量日益扩大,为掌握其港口物流发展态势,拟采用三次指数平滑法构建广西北部湾港口物流需求预测模型,基于2000~2009十年港口吞吐量,对2010~2012年港口吞吐量作出预测,以及对港口物流科学发展提出对策建议。

关 键 词:广西北部湾港  港口吞吐量  物流预测  发展对策

Research on Demand Forecasting and Development Pattern of Port Logistics for Guangxi Beibu Gulf Port
WANG Jing-min,ZHU Fang-yang,SUI Bo-wen,JIANG Zhi-juan.Research on Demand Forecasting and Development Pattern of Port Logistics for Guangxi Beibu Gulf Port[J].Logistics Management,2010,33(12):26-28.
Authors:WANG Jing-min  ZHU Fang-yang  SUI Bo-wen  JIANG Zhi-juan
Institution:(Qinzhou University,Qinzhou 535000,China)
Abstract:Guangxi beibu gulf port is a combined port,the quantity demand of the port logistics is incresing everyday.In order to master the port logistics development trend,using three exponential smoothing to build port logistics demand forecasting model for Guangxi beibu gulf port,and make the port handling capacity forecasts of 2010~2012 based on the port handling capacity data of the last ten years,that is 2000~2009,and then put forward some countermeasures and suggestions for the port logistics' scientific development.
Keywords:Guangxi beibu gulf port  port handling capacity  logistics forecasts  development countermeasures
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