碳排放、家庭与城市发展

本文利用我国2006年74个主要城市的面板数据，对各个城市一个标准家庭的碳排放进行了有效估算并进行排名。结果表明，在以标准家庭碳排放为唯一衡量指标时，淮安和宿迁是最“绿色”的城市，大庆和牡丹江是最“灰色”的城市；即使在最“灰色”的城市大庆，一个标准家庭产生的碳排放量也仅是美国最“绿色”城市圣地亚哥的1／5；城市人口规模、人口增长、收入、气温和城市化发展模式等因素对碳排放均有影响，家庭碳排放量与一月份平均气温显著负相关。

Carbon Emissions, Household and Urban Development

This paper uses the panel data of 74 major Chinese cities in 2006 and estimates a standardized household＇s carbon emissions in each of the 74 cities, then ranks 74 cities with respect to total carbon emission per standardized household. The empirical results demonstrate that , after regarding a standardized household＇s carbon emissions as the only indicator of city＇s ＂greenness＂, the ＂greenest＂ cities based on this criterion are Huaian and Suqian while the＂ dirtiest＂ cities are Daqing and Mudanjiang. Even in the dirtiest city （Daqing）, a standardized household produces only one-fifth of that in America＇s greenest city （ San Diego）. The correlation between carbon emissions estimates and city-level attributes including population, population growth, income, temperature and urban form, and the average January temperature is strongly negatively correlated with a city＇s household carbon emission.