我国服务贸易与经济发展——基于行业面板数据的分析

本文利用1997年到2006年8个服务贸易行业的面板数据,通过分析我国服务贸易进出口与经济发展之间的关系,肯定了我国入世后服务贸易进出口快速发展的同时,发现服务贸易进口对经济发展的促进作用要大于服务贸易出口。从行业结构上还发现我国目前占我国服务贸易进出口过半的传统服务贸易行业对经济发展的促进作用偏低而相对份额较少的新兴服务贸易行业,也就是资本知识密集服务行业对经济发展的促进作用较大。另外国际文化服务贸易对我国经济发展具有较强推动作用,我国应该进一步重视国际文化服务贸易的发展,增强中华文化的国际影响力。

The Impact of Import and Export Trade in Services on Economic Development of China

By the 8 services professional panel dates form 1997 to 2006,this paper analyzes the impact of the import and export trade in Services on the economic development of China.The results support our country's policy of WTO,reveal the import trade in services plays a more important role than export trade in services and discover traditional trade in services which are now in larger quantity,are less effective,emerging trade in services are just the opposite.Finally the international cultural trade in services is much significant for economic development of China.