| 中国人均GDP时间序列建模与相关分析 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 石梓涵. 中国人均GDP时间序列建模与相关分析[J]. 价值工程, 2011, 30(3): 322-322 |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 石梓涵 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 北京林业大学,北京,100083 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 人均GDP是衡量一个国家和地区经济发展水平和综合经济实力的重要指标。本文在相关背景下收集了1978-2008年中国人均GDP时间序列数据,应用了SPSS软件进行数据分析并建立时间序列模型,利用模型预测了2009,2010年人均GDP数值,对制定相应的宏观调控政策有十分重要的意义。
|
| 关 键 词： | 人均GDP 非平稳时间序列 指数平滑法 Holt线性趋势模型 白噪声序列 |
Time Series Modeling of Per Capita GDP of China and Correlation Analysis |
| |
| Shi Zihan. Time Series Modeling of Per Capita GDP of China and Correlation Analysis[J]. Value Engineering, 2011, 30(3): 322-322 |
| |
| Authors: | Shi Zihan |
| |
| Affiliation: | Shi Zihan(Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,China) |
| |
| Abstract: | Per capita GDP is an important indicator to measure the level of national and regional economic development and overall economic strength.this paper collected 1978-2008 time series data of per capita GDP in the relevant context,SPSS software is applied for data analysis and the establishment of time-series model,GDP per capita values of 2009 and 2010 are predicted by model,which are of great significance to the formulation of appropriate macro-control policies Are very important. |
| |
| Keywords: | per capita GDP non-stationary time series exponential smoothing Holt linear trend model white noise sequences |
| 本文献已被 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
