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The synchronization club: classification of global economic groups by inequality
Authors:Hongduo Cao  Yong Tan
Institution:1. Business School, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China;2. Michael G. Foster of Business, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195-3226, USA
Abstract:We find that, from 1970 to 2006, the GDPs of 181 countries are described by a log-normal with a power law tail before 1992, but by a kinked power law distribution after 1992. In the 15 years from 1992 to 2006, there are two obvious scale-free zones for annual GDPs, ranked from the largest to smallest. If the countries in each scaling region are regarded as a group, the world is divided into two groups, each with a roughly stable number of members. The power exponents of the two groups are different and hence lead to different inequalities. Therefore, the basis for classification is the macro-consistent inequality within each group. The wealth grows in a synchronous nonlinear manner within groups that have a stable wealth distribution and rank structure. If each group is considered as a club, we name it a ‘synchronization club’.
Keywords:GDP  inequality  log-normal  power law  ‘synchronization club’
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