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Safe asset shortages and asset price bubbles
Institution:1. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Division of Research and Statistics, 20th Street and Constitution Avenue N.W., D.C. Washington 20551, USA;2. European Central Bank, Monetary Policy Research Division, Frankfurt 60640, Germany;1. Department of Economics, University of Saskatchewan, 9 Campus Drive, Saskatoon, SK S7N 5A5, Canada;2. Department of Economics, California State University Long Beach, 1250 Bellflower Blvd., MS-4607, Long Beach, CA 90840-4607, USA;3. Kiel Institute for the World Economy: Kiellinie 66, 24105 Kiel, Germany;4. Simon Fraser University, 8888 University Drive, Burnaby, BC V5A 1S6, Canada
Abstract:We build a model economy in which a shortage of safe assets can create conditions for intrinsically useless ‘safe’ bubble assets to circulate at a positive price. Our environment features infinitely lived individuals who are not subject to credit constraints but who face uninsurable idiosyncratic production risk. Bubbly equilibria exist when safe assets offer real returns below the growth rate of the economy. Bubble assets circulate at a positive price only if they offer returns which are safe relative to production returns. These ‘safe’ bubbles reduce consumption volatility but exert a contractionary effect on the economy.
Keywords:Safe asset shortage  Asset price bubbles
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